ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting ideas cheat sheet is your pregame vacation spot for basketball betting predictions and our greatest intel and knowledge that will help you make good fantasy and wagering choices. NBA recreation odds for October 27 are offered by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy recommendation relies on ESPN 10-team leagues.
What it’s essential to know for Thursday’s video games
Fatigue?: The Nets have been 3-11 outright (5-9 ATS) on the second evening of back-to-backs a season in the past and are of their first such spot this season tonight- (they’ve two extra over the following 17 days). Below tickets cashed in 9 of these 14 video games and the Nets staff whole was a worthwhile goal (106.9 PPG). It is early, however Kevin Durant has as many turnovers this season as assists and has but to shoot higher than 33.3% from deep in a recreation.
Giddey for Mann: Josh Giddey (ankle) will miss his second consecutive recreation and that sound you hear is the elation of Tre Mann’s fantasy managers (or savvy prop bettors). On Tuesday in opposition to the Clippers, Mann fired 24 instances from the sphere in his 36 minutes, a per minute shot charge that was 54.9% better than his three video games to open this season. The Clips have allowed not less than 108 factors in three straight video games, so if the Thunder can proceed to push the tempo like they’ve to this point, Mann may very well be in for one more excessive utilization night.
Checking The Temperature: Jordan Poole entered this season with a repute as an prompt offense kind of participant that might fill it up in a rush. That is nonetheless true, however he is quietly added play-making to his bag of methods, one thing roto fantasy managers and prop bettors alike should be loving. The 23-year-old is averaging an help for each two pictures taken this season, almost double his profession charge getting into this season. Does it maintain? Powerful to say, however we are going to get a very good have a look at if these beneficial properties are actual tonight in opposition to a Warmth staff that’s top-10 in defensive effectivity because the starting of final season.
Stackramento: The winless Kings host the surging Grizzlies in Sacramento this night in a contest that claims the best whole of the slate (236.5). Memphis ranks sixth in offensive ranking, but in addition final in offensive ranking due to getting drubbed by Dallas final weekend. The Kings, in the meantime, are sixth in tempo and twenty first in defensive ranking, including much more possessions to this fantasy-friendly setup. Stacking DFS lineups with each of those defensively-deficient rosters makes some sense amid a four-game slate. With Ja Morant, Domantas Sabonis, and De’Aaron Fox as high-ceiling constructing blocks, complementary shares of Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, Desmond Bane, and even Santi Aldama might show rewarding. For these searching for some streaming choices, Huerter (53% out there in ESPN leagues) has seen his 3-point quantity leap by 48.2% since final season with Atlanta, whereas Aldama (76%) is enjoying heavy minutes and producing a pleasant mix of blocks and boards for the Grizzlies.
— Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe
Recreation of the evening
Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets
7:30 p.m. ET, Barclays Middle, Brooklyn, New York
Line: Nets (-2.5)
Cash line: Mavericks (-145), Nets (+122)
Whole: 225 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 233.6 factors
BPI Win%: Mavericks (58.7%)
Questionable: Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot), Markieff Morris (private)
Dominated out: Seth Curry (ankle), Davis Bertans (knee), Frank Ntilikina (ankle)
Be aware: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Royce O’Neale (out there in 80.5% of leagues) is making a constant 3-and-D affect. He is averaging 3.5 mixed steals and blocks per recreation, plus 2.3 3-pointers per recreation, and has not less than two shares and a 3-pointer in each recreation this season. — André Snellings
Finest Wager: Christian Wooden over 18.5 factors. The Mavericks’ offense rests virtually solely on Luka Doncic, Christian Wooden and Spencer Dinwiddie. Betting the over-stack (e.g. over factors on all three of them) has been profitable thus far this season, however for Wooden particularly, it does not seem that Vegas has caught as much as his position together with his new staff. In three video games to this point, he is scored 25, 25 and 23 factors; he is getting loads of pictures as the first possibility within the second unit and primary scoring lieutenant when Luka is on the court docket. — Snellings
Breaking down the remainder of the slate
LA Clippers at Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder
8:00 p.m ET, Paycom Middle, Oklahoma Metropolis
Line: Clippers (-6)
Cash line: Clippers (-250), Thunder (+205)
Whole: 218.5 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 222.7 factors
BPI Win%: Clippers (58%)
Questionable: Paul George (sickness)
Dominated out: Kawhi Leonard (knee), Marcus Morris Sr. (private), Josh Giddey (ankle), Jalen Williams (eye)
Be aware: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play
Finest guess: Clippers -6. Within the first recreation of a back-to-back set, the Clippers misplaced to the Thunder. Nevertheless, Los Angeles was with out Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Leonard, who has stiffness in his knee, has already been dominated out. Whereas George is questionable with an sickness for tonight’s recreation, there’s a robust likelihood he’ll play. The Clippers don’t need to lose consecutive video games to the Thunder. My guess is on Los Angeles to cowl. The Thunder aren’t a robust offensive staff rating twenty seventh in factors scored per 100 possessions performed. This season, Oklahoma Metropolis permits opponents to have an efficient subject purpose share of 54.1%. — Eric Moody
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
10 p.m. ET, Golden One Middle, Sacramento, California
Line: Grizzlies (-3)
Cash line: Grizzlies (-165), Kings (+140)
Whole: 237 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 236.6 factors
BPI Win%: Grizzlies (52.5%)
Questionable: John Konchar (shoulder)
Dominated out: Ziaire Williams (knee)
Be aware: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Santi Aldama (rostered in 23.2%) is a superb streamer in opposition to the Kings. He is averaged 12.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG and 1.3 BPG in 30.8 MPG this season and scored 30 or extra fantasy factors in three out of 4 video games. The Kings rank twenty second in factors allowed per 100 possessions, which additionally helps the trigger. — Eric Moody
Finest guess: Keegan Murray over 16.5 factors. Murray has averaged 17.5 PPG in his first two NBA video games, coming off the bench however getting loads of minutes. He is transferring into the beginning lineup on Thursday, and whereas his minutes cannot realistically get a lot larger, this vote of confidence additionally will get him out on the court docket with playmakers that may get him extra open appears to be like. Murray confirmed me within the Las Vegas Summer time League that he is able to be an expert scorer within the NBA proper now, and he has a quickness benefit on Santi Aldama that ought to enable him to be aggressive as a scorer in his first begin. — Snellings
Miami Warmth at Golden State Warriors
10:00 p.m ET, Chase Middle, San Francisco
Line: Warriors (-6.5)
Cash line: Warriors (-260), Warmth (+210)
Whole: 227 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 227.9 factors
BPI Win%: Warriors (67.7%)
Dominated out: Andre Iguodala (hip), Donte DiVincenzo (hamstring), Omer Yurtseven (ankle), Victor Oladipo (knee)
Be aware: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: James Wiseman (out there in 65.4% of leagues) has confirmed than he can produce effectively even in restricted minutes off the bench. Wiseman has scored in double figures in three straight video games, and is averaging 11.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG and 0.8 BPG in 17.8 MPG on the season. As a part of the second unit, he must also just about keep away from Bam Adebayo, and Wiseman’s bodily instruments ought to enable him to get the higher of Dewayne Dedmon and the in any other case undersized Warmth frontline. — Snellings
Finest guess: Andrew Wiggins over 25.5 factors + assists + rebounds. This season, Wiggins averages 20.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 2.8 APG, 2.0 SPG, and 1.3 BPG in 32.3 MPG. For the season, he has a utilization charge of 21.7% and faces a Warmth protection that has been torched by small forwards. Miami has allowed 28.3 PPG, 4.05 APG and eight.7 RPG to the place. — Eric Moody
Analytics Edge
BPI’s highest projected totals
1. Memphis Grizzlies (118.7 factors)
2. Dallas Mavericks (118.0 factors)
3. Sacramento Kings (117.9 factors)
BPI’s lowest projected totals
1. Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder (110.2 factors)
2. Miami Warmth (111.6 factors)
3. Brooklyn Nets (115.6 factors)
BPI prime likelihood to win (straight up)
1. Golden State Warriors (66.7%)
2. Dallas Mavericks (58.7%)
3. LA Clippers (58.0%)